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THE TRAIN HIJACK TO SECESSION OF BALUCHISTAN
The train hijack by BLA is tactically sophisticated and brilliant. Strategically it has brought the Baluch issue to a head in Pakistan. Increasingly, the separatist movement fuelled by the disaffection of the people is proving to be beyond the weak Pakistani state. Will Baluchistan secede from hereon? BALUCHISTAN CAN SURVIVE WITHOUT PAKISTAN. CAN PAKISTAN SURVIVE…
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UKRAINE AND BANGLADESH WARS : A POLITICO MILITARY COMPARISON
What are the lessons that can be drawn from the 1971 India Pakistan war which the Russians could have applied in the Ukraine war? This was the question which triggered this analysis. There are eerie similarities between these wars. Political objectives, planning considerations, preparation, training , soldiery, weather, terrain and more are comparable. While there were many things…
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China’s Two Sessions : An Analysis
An analysis of China’s current Two Sessions indicates that it is bereft of new ideas. China’s GDP target ambitious. It can be achieved only through heavy state spending like before. The results will also be like before. A GDP without ROI! Further its weak stimuli to spur consumption is not working. Global conditions are also…
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GERMANY : ELECTIONS AND OUTCOMES
Historically Germany has been the powerhouse of Europe and logically it should have driven the process to end the Ukraine war. However that is not happening as the German economy is under strain and the country is seeking is its own recovery. The recent elections in Germany have thrown up results far different from the…
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Beyond The Trump Zelensky Blowout
The Trump-Zelensky blowout made good TV news. However it has brought to fore many issues of the emerging global order. Maj Gen Rajiv Narayanan (R) and I discussed various aspect of this blowout and its global impact. It is clear that USA wants to end this war at the earliest and focus on China. Europe…
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Corporatisation Of Intelligence
Good intelligence is a pre-requisite not only to prosecute wars but also to prevent them. This is an area which India has found to be lacking. Presently intelligence can be gathered from multiple sources and is widely available. Increasingly int collection and analysis is technology driven. It is a very specialised and sophisticated field where…
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TRUMP’S MINERAL DEAL : MANY BIRDS WITH ONE STONE
Trump’s mineral deal with Ukraine is not about minerals alone. It is aimed at many birds with one stone. It enables USA to bind Russia, Ukraine and the EU in economic agreements. It paves way for USA to reduce dependance on China for critical minerals. It will open doors for reconstruction of Ukraine. The entire…
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IS THERE ANOTHER COUP IN THE WORKS IN BANGLADESH?
The recent statement by the COAS of Bangladesh indicates that all is not well within. If the situation does not improve, there could be another coup. Mr Sandeep Unnithan’s New Nine Plus show was incisive to bring out all facets of the situation in Bangladesh through an erudite panel of which I was a part.
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PAKISTAN : INSECURE, DEPONDENT & DYSFUNCTIONAL
Pakistan’s political and economic crises are now endemic. It has lost strategic relevance. Its singular aim seems to to seek parity with India in one form or the other. However the Pakistani’s realise that this is now almost next to impossible. As time had gone by, Pakistan has become insecure, despondent and dysfunctional because of…
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A DANCE WITH BEARS ON THE RUSSIA – UKRAINE WAR
Had a very interesting discussion with John Helmer on where the Russia Ukraine war is going. It is a non- western perspective. John Helmer brings into focus the Russian point of view which is missing from many of our discourses. It puts history into context of the present situation which is a bad porridge! I…
Gunners Shot 