Category: CASA DIALOGUES
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IS INDIA’S NEIGHBOURHOOD IMPLODING?
A free flowing conversation on the deteriorating situation in Pakistan, China and Bangladesh. The recent press conference of ex COAS Gen Jahangir Karamat against the Asim Munir regime indicates that Pakistan is on the brink. The arrest of He Weidong, the Vice Chairman of the CMC shows that the internal political struggle in a weakening…
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BALUCHISTAN ON THE BRINK
Recent incidents indicate very clearly that Baluchistan is on the brink of secession from Pakistan. This analysis is a layered onion peel approach to deconstruct what is happening in Pakistan with the core being the melt down in Baluchistan. Fundamentally the Pakistan Army has dealt with Baluchistan from a security, geopolitical and economic perspective and…
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PAKISTAN BEYOND ITS 07 OCTOBER : A RETURN TO THE TERROR EPICENTRE
The hijack of the Jaffar Express by the BLA is the 07 October moment for Pakistan. It will leave a lasting imprint on the Pakistani psyche. The Army will be forced to react. In all probability it will do so with maximum force since the soft Winning The Hearts and Mind approach is alien to…
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PUTIN/ TRUMP/ZELENSKY : CEASEFIRE TANGO
The ceasefire and peace process in the Ukraine Russia War has begun. There are many models on which a ceasefire can be modelled on. Mr Sree Iyer and I examined the Korean, German, Kashmir and Finland, Cyprus models which can serve as a base for the peace process. Whichever model is adopted, it will be…
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THE NEW WORLD ACCORDING TO TRUMP
A meaningful webinar on how Trump is shaping the world disorder! He is destroying the existent rules based world order based on international institutions. It is being replaced with disorder based on isolation and deglobalistaion. Each country has to look out for itself. There are no single set of rules which will guide us in…
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RUSSIA UKRAINE WAR : THE TWISTS AND TURNS OF PEACE
Had two wonderful discussions with Mr John Helmer and Brig Arun Sahgal on the Russia Ukraine War. The first was all about to find if there is a basic matrix which can be found on which peace can be established. The second discussion outlines the twist and turns in achieving some kind of a ceasefire,…
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THE TRAIN HIJACK TO SECESSION OF BALUCHISTAN
The train hijack by BLA is tactically sophisticated and brilliant. Strategically it has brought the Baluch issue to a head in Pakistan. Increasingly, the separatist movement fuelled by the disaffection of the people is proving to be beyond the weak Pakistani state. Will Baluchistan secede from hereon? BALUCHISTAN CAN SURVIVE WITHOUT PAKISTAN. CAN PAKISTAN SURVIVE…
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UKRAINE AND BANGLADESH WARS : A POLITICO MILITARY COMPARISON
What are the lessons that can be drawn from the 1971 India Pakistan war which the Russians could have applied in the Ukraine war? This was the question which triggered this analysis. There are eerie similarities between these wars. Political objectives, planning considerations, preparation, training , soldiery, weather, terrain and more are comparable. While there were many things…
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GERMANY : ELECTIONS AND OUTCOMES
Historically Germany has been the powerhouse of Europe and logically it should have driven the process to end the Ukraine war. However that is not happening as the German economy is under strain and the country is seeking is its own recovery. The recent elections in Germany have thrown up results far different from the…
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Beyond The Trump Zelensky Blowout
The Trump-Zelensky blowout made good TV news. However it has brought to fore many issues of the emerging global order. Maj Gen Rajiv Narayanan (R) and I discussed various aspect of this blowout and its global impact. It is clear that USA wants to end this war at the earliest and focus on China. Europe…
Gunners Shot 