Category: RUSSO UKRAINE CONFLICT
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PUTINS’ CEASEFIRE – INDIA RUSSIA RELATIONS – THE QUAD
Dr John Helmer and I had a free flowing conversation on a range of topics:- 1. Easter ceasefire declared by President Putin and prospects for a longer peace in Ukraine. 2. The contours of India Russia relations in the current geopolitical context. 3. The global equations that are emerging. 4. Perceptions of the role and…
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‘CORPORATISED WAR TERMINATION’ WILL NOT WORK FOR USA IN UKRAINE
‘ Trump is a man in a hurry to bring the Ukraine War to a closure at the earliest. However his approach to war termination is based on corporate principles which are at odds with the Russian old style approach. As these negotiations are seeming to acquire a life of their own, the West Asian…
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PUTIN/ TRUMP/ZELENSKY : CEASEFIRE TANGO
The ceasefire and peace process in the Ukraine Russia War has begun. There are many models on which a ceasefire can be modelled on. Mr Sree Iyer and I examined the Korean, German, Kashmir and Finland, Cyprus models which can serve as a base for the peace process. Whichever model is adopted, it will be…
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RUSSIA UKRAINE WAR : THE TWISTS AND TURNS OF PEACE
Had two wonderful discussions with Mr John Helmer and Brig Arun Sahgal on the Russia Ukraine War. The first was all about to find if there is a basic matrix which can be found on which peace can be established. The second discussion outlines the twist and turns in achieving some kind of a ceasefire,…
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UKRAINE AND BANGLADESH WARS : A POLITICO MILITARY COMPARISON
What are the lessons that can be drawn from the 1971 India Pakistan war which the Russians could have applied in the Ukraine war? This was the question which triggered this analysis. There are eerie similarities between these wars. Political objectives, planning considerations, preparation, training , soldiery, weather, terrain and more are comparable. While there were many things…
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GERMANY : ELECTIONS AND OUTCOMES
Historically Germany has been the powerhouse of Europe and logically it should have driven the process to end the Ukraine war. However that is not happening as the German economy is under strain and the country is seeking is its own recovery. The recent elections in Germany have thrown up results far different from the…
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Beyond The Trump Zelensky Blowout
The Trump-Zelensky blowout made good TV news. However it has brought to fore many issues of the emerging global order. Maj Gen Rajiv Narayanan (R) and I discussed various aspect of this blowout and its global impact. It is clear that USA wants to end this war at the earliest and focus on China. Europe…
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TRUMP’S MINERAL DEAL : MANY BIRDS WITH ONE STONE
Trump’s mineral deal with Ukraine is not about minerals alone. It is aimed at many birds with one stone. It enables USA to bind Russia, Ukraine and the EU in economic agreements. It paves way for USA to reduce dependance on China for critical minerals. It will open doors for reconstruction of Ukraine. The entire…
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A DANCE WITH BEARS ON THE RUSSIA – UKRAINE WAR
Had a very interesting discussion with John Helmer on where the Russia Ukraine war is going. It is a non- western perspective. John Helmer brings into focus the Russian point of view which is missing from many of our discourses. It puts history into context of the present situation which is a bad porridge! I…
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WILL THERE BE PEACE IN UKRAINE? IS USA THROWING IN THE TOWEL?
The good thing about the meeting in Riyadh was that USA and Russia started speaking about ending the Ukraine war. However the US team appeared to be focussed on achieving a ceasefire and Russia was seeking a larger settlement with a maximalist position. USA also seems to be putting the cart before the horse by…
Gunners Shot 