Category: Strategic and Geopolitical
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GERMANY : ELECTIONS AND OUTCOMES
Historically Germany has been the powerhouse of Europe and logically it should have driven the process to end the Ukraine war. However that is not happening as the German economy is under strain and the country is seeking is its own recovery. The recent elections in Germany have thrown up results far different from the…
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Beyond The Trump Zelensky Blowout
The Trump-Zelensky blowout made good TV news. However it has brought to fore many issues of the emerging global order. Maj Gen Rajiv Narayanan (R) and I discussed various aspect of this blowout and its global impact. It is clear that USA wants to end this war at the earliest and focus on China. Europe…
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TRUMP’S MINERAL DEAL : MANY BIRDS WITH ONE STONE
Trump’s mineral deal with Ukraine is not about minerals alone. It is aimed at many birds with one stone. It enables USA to bind Russia, Ukraine and the EU in economic agreements. It paves way for USA to reduce dependance on China for critical minerals. It will open doors for reconstruction of Ukraine. The entire…
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A DANCE WITH BEARS ON THE RUSSIA – UKRAINE WAR
Had a very interesting discussion with John Helmer on where the Russia Ukraine war is going. It is a non- western perspective. John Helmer brings into focus the Russian point of view which is missing from many of our discourses. It puts history into context of the present situation which is a bad porridge! I…
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WILL THERE BE PEACE IN UKRAINE? IS USA THROWING IN THE TOWEL?
The good thing about the meeting in Riyadh was that USA and Russia started speaking about ending the Ukraine war. However the US team appeared to be focussed on achieving a ceasefire and Russia was seeking a larger settlement with a maximalist position. USA also seems to be putting the cart before the horse by…
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A New World Order & Changing Power Dynamics by Lt Gen P R Shankar (R)
The global landscape is marked by dynamic shifts and uncertainty, as traditional geopolitical alliances and power structures undergo significant transformation. This evolving order presents challenges and opportunities,especially for historically marginalised nations seeking a greater voice in global affairs. Departing from established norms offers a chance to create more equitable and inclusive governance, fostering stability and…
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IS THERE AN END GAME IN UKRAINE?
Mr Trump has spoken to Mr Putin and Mr Zelensky regarding his intent to draw down the Ukraine war and reach a settlement. There are various nuances and aspects to this proposal which is in its initial stages. However the reality is that negotiations are set to start. Col Ajay Singh and I discussed various…
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TRUMP & THE MAD MAN THEORY
The mad man theory is about the idea that by acting in a highly volatile way one can frighten opponents into conceding. It has been used by Nixon, Khrushchev , Zia Ur Rehman and many more in the past. However history reveals such behaviour has rarely succeeded. In the same vein, many have attributed the mad…
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The Trump Effect
Despite the bluster the Trump Effect is being felt. The Gaza ceasefire is being attributed to it. If Ukraine war is to end, the Trump Effect might have something to do with it. Many of Trump’s executive orders are internal to USA. However they have huge external ramifications on immigration, citizenship, climate change etc. Besides…
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Can Trump End The Ukraine War ?
There is a general expectation that Mr Trump will be able to end the Ukraine War once he assumes office. He has also stated that he will do so during his campaigning. Will he be able to do that? What are the options he has? Mr Sree Iyer and I examined the whole gamut of…
Gunners Shot 