Category: REGIONAL
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India – Pakistan Nuclear Dyad: Space for Conventional Ops
#Pakistan’s #deterrence vis a vis #India based on #nuclearblackmail broke down completely in #OpSindoor. Their notion of controlling the #escalatory matrix and use of #tacticalnuclearweapons to blunt India’s “#Cold Start’ doctrine went out of the window. Pakistan has suddenly realized that the #space for #conventional ops has widened and its nuclear capability is practically useless.…
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THAILAND – CAMBODIA AT WAR
The #ThaiCambodia conflict has been brewing for some time. It is at a stage of erupting into a full blown war. It will destabilize the #IndoChina peninsula as also the #ASEAN region. The conflict is a colonial leftover and is a quibble for the Preah Vihar Temple on their border.
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MALDIVES : ‘INDIA OUT’ TURN AROUND
PM Modi is to visit #Maldives on 25-26 Jul and participate in their 60 Independence Day celebrations. This is a huge turnaround from the days of #indiaout. At a time when India faces severe headwinds in its neighborhood and internationally the fact that our seas are more secure from predators around us gives some comfort.
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CHINA PAKISTAN BANGLADESH AXIS
The #China #Pakistan #Bangladesh axis which seems to be developing needs to be watched. While China and Pakistan are gung ho about it, Bangladesh has reservations. China and Pakistan want to establish a South Asian system without India. They want to rope in Nepal, SriLanka and Maldives too. The weak link is Bangladesh. It needs…
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WILL ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN’S NUKES?
As the trade war is raging, there is another drama being played out in the West Asia . Iran is on the threshold of going nuclear and USA and Israel are bent on ensuring that it does not happen. While USA is looking for a deal which revolves around the 2015 deal plus no missiles,…
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बलूचिस्तान: पाकिस्तान का कमज़ोर दिल
Covered two aspects1. Pakistani loot of Baluchi resources2. The political & security situation is now beyond the control of PakistanArmy.The Pakistani state does not control the night!Under these conditions Can Pak hold on to Baluchistan with only maximum force and in the absence of any political outreach?
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The Yunarch On A Wooden Horse
The Yunarch on a wooden horse is much like Don Quixote. He is crossing India’s redlines. He is deliberately courting China and Pakistan to spite and scare India. It is the most short sighted thing to do as the global economy is in a spin. That too by an illegal advisor to his government The…
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The Trump Effect on West Asia
Trump took a lot of interest in West Asia when he assumed Presidency. His views on West Asia had an initial effect to enforce a cease fire in Gaza. However that has waned off and Trump does not seem to have the band width to handle the region with many other issues on his plate…
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PROFESSOR YUNARCHY : SEEKING CHINESE PASTURES
Prof Yunus shot his mouth off in China. 7 sisters of the North East aare not the property of Bangladesh! Bangladesh is not even a guardian of itself…leave alone of the Ocean. It has no stability internally and seeks to stabilise the region. It has an image of itself which is larger than its reality.…
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INDIA NEPAL DYNAMICS
Political uncertainty is back in Nepal. Will monarchy return or will the situation descend into anarchy? This is a question on everyone’s mind. Lt Gen Shokin Chauhan, with his expertise and usual clarity of thought conveys the dynamics of politics in Nepal. Monarchy is unlikely to return. At the same time the political merry go…

