Tag: China
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XI VS PLA
XI VS PLA is an ongoing two year struggle. It is assuming serious proportions now. Will it threaten Xi’s reign or China’s stability? How serious is the problem? How strong is the military spear head or how blunt is it?
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China Has Hit Its Great Wall
A GDP fixated China finds itself boxed in economically. Investment has hit a ceiling. Consumption remains weak. Export of trade surplus is facing geopolitical barriers besides low profit margins due to overcapacity. The answer to China’s economic malaise is to increase consumption. However it comes at a political risk and cost which Xi Jinping is…
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BALUCHISTAN BOILS- PAKISTAN ON THE ROPES – CHINA ENTERS THE FRAY
The chess board has altered since the Jaffar Express Attack, Maharang Baloch in jail, BLA ‘s 48 attacks and Akthar Mengal’s long march mark a significant convergence in Baluchistan. Most importantly, the Baluch ladies have hit the streets and are leading the movement. If this solidifies, its curtains up for Pakistan. Till now the Baluch…
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BEYOND THE FACADE : CHINESE ANALYSIS OF PM MODI’S REMARKS
PM Modi’s remarks on relationship with China during the Lex Freidman podcast was statesman like. It has drawn some appreciation from Chinese official media. However when one looks behind the facade, the Chinese reaction has been negative. The Chinese on the whole feel that our PM’s outreach is more to do with a weak India…
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IS INDIA’S NEIGHBOURHOOD IMPLODING?
A free flowing conversation on the deteriorating situation in Pakistan, China and Bangladesh. The recent press conference of ex COAS Gen Jahangir Karamat against the Asim Munir regime indicates that Pakistan is on the brink. The arrest of He Weidong, the Vice Chairman of the CMC shows that the internal political struggle in a weakening…
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China’s Two Sessions : An Analysis
An analysis of China’s current Two Sessions indicates that it is bereft of new ideas. China’s GDP target ambitious. It can be achieved only through heavy state spending like before. The results will also be like before. A GDP without ROI! Further its weak stimuli to spur consumption is not working. Global conditions are also…
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INDIA’S DUAL STRATEGY
Brig Arun Sahgal (R) outlines India’s Dual Strategy of military deterrence and diplomatic de-escalation. India has built up along the LAC to close the gap with China in terms of infrastructure and hard military power. Any misadventure by the Chinese will result in a pro quid quo situation where they might end up losing territory…
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Myanmar’s Endless Turmoil
Lt Gen PC Nair gives a clear insight of the civil war which is going on in Myanmar. The Tatmadaw is down but not out. The rebels are upbeat but not in full control. The Chinese are playing both sides and consolidating their interests. Drugs and arms smuggling are rampant. The spillover effect on Manipur…
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The Trump Squeeze on China
The popular perception is that Trump is transactional. Is it really so? In my opinion he has a well thought out plan which he is executing to cement USA as the undisputed global power. He is squeezing China directly and indirectly. You might not agree with my analysis. Ask the Chinese! They are feeling the…
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Gwadar’s Reality : Pakistan’s Dubai or China’s Overseas Command HQ?
Gwadar has been touted as the Jewel in the crown of CPEC. Pakistan hyped up Gwadar as its Dubai which will revive its fortunes and make it a great power. Lot of plans were made and announced in 2013. Billions of dollars have been sunk in to build an unused port and an unused airport.…
Gunners Shot 