Tag: #CHINA
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CHINA’S NEW STRATEGY OF SLOW STRANGULATION OF TAIWAN
China has come to realise a few issues. 1. Forceful reunification of Taiwan is beyond China 2.Peaceful reunification cannot be achieved, 3. Taiwan does not want any kind of Unification. 4. No possibility of unification in the next four years . Accordingly, its strategy has changed to law fare, gray zone activities, cognitive warfare and intimidation.…
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XI’S PANIC U TURN TO PRIVATE INDUSTRY
Xi Jinpings turn to the Private industry is almost dramatic. After all he had wrecked the ed-tech , fintech and construction industry 3-4 years back. It had then set back China by 2-3 tn USD. The fact that he has to turn back to the private players including Jack Ma whom he had banished indicates…
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WILL THE THIRD STIMULUS WORK TO STOP THE DOWNSLIDE IN CHINA?
The first two stimuli have not worked in China. Rhodium group puts China’s GDP growth at 2.4-2.8% only. If one had invested in Chinese stocks over a five year period, it would have resulted in a net loss. China’s 10 year bond yields have hit all time lows. The CPI is barely 0.2% as the…
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China’s Politico Military Strategy In 2025
Xi has deep anxieties on many fronts – economic, diplomatic, demographic and military. China now face four military fronts in Korea, Taiwan, South China Sea and India. It does not want to get into a two front situation. It has failed to enforce a military solution on India. USA is redeploying and reinforcing forces in…
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CHINA INDIA IN THE WORLD ORDER – A CHINESE PERSPECTIVE
In any analysis the first order of business is to know what lies on the other side of the hill. It is in this context that one has to understand the Chinese perspective of where they see China and India in the world order. Logically a country in decline should start altering its ambitions. However…
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RICH PAKISTAN – POOR PAKISTAN : DANGEROUS , TOXIC AND AT WAR FOREVER
I have always been of the opinion that there are two Pakistans. One which is rich, well armed and dangerous. That is the Pakistan of the Army. The other is a Pakistan which is poor and toxic- politically unstable, bankrupt, radical and hereafter eternally at battle with the Taliban. The Pakistan of the Army is…
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FOUR YEARS ON THE LAC IS CHINA’S DEFEAT
The PLA spent four years on the LAC to go back to the points where it started from. What did it achieve? In my opinion – DEFEAT. I have elucidated it in this video. The events of the past four years have been examined against the background of China’s historical actions in Korea, India(62), Vietnam,…
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INDIA UP AGAINST CHINA PAKISTAN AND BANGLADESH
India faces a new security paradigm. It is up against China, Pakistan and Bangladesh which are coalescing together. While each country poses a different challenge, there is an emerging nexus aimed at containing India. While China has withdrawn from the LAC due to its apparent incapacities and internal situation, it is now getting to India…
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India’s Changing Equations in Global Flux
Had a fascinating discussion with Brig Arun Sahgal (R). We covered a wide canvas beginning with the Contours of Global Order as it reshapes itself. Aspects covered were wars and major disruptions, China – US strategic competition, and emerging power alignments in the Indo – Pacific. Dwelt upon the knotty India – US equations, present…
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Nepal’s Drift To China
Nepal’s drift towards China is palpable. While the situation is not alarming , every time KP Sharma Oli comes to power , he takes an additional step to go towards China. That is concerning. India must have a long term policy to deal with Nepal which is based on people to people relationship which can…
Gunners Shot 