Category: Strategic and Geopolitical
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RUSSIA INDIA CHINA TRIANGLE 2.0
The #RussiaIndiaChina triangle is back in the news. In a weird way, #US behavior is driving this triangle into being formed. However, #India needs to do a hard rethink of getting into this triangle. Fundamentally, India cannot trust #China enough to be part of this triangle in any meaningful manner. This is evident from the…
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INDIA USA RELATIONS : GREAT EXPECTATIONS / DEAL OR NO DEAL?
There have been great expectations between #India and #USA in their strategic partnership. However they have not turned into any form of substantial reality. Will the trade deal usher in something that has not happened before? Will there be a deal?
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PUTINS’ CEASEFIRE – INDIA RUSSIA RELATIONS – THE QUAD
Dr John Helmer and I had a free flowing conversation on a range of topics:- 1. Easter ceasefire declared by President Putin and prospects for a longer peace in Ukraine. 2. The contours of India Russia relations in the current geopolitical context. 3. The global equations that are emerging. 4. Perceptions of the role and…
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WILL USA ATTACK IRAN?
Trump is putting maximum pressure on Iran to make a deal. Part of the pressure is a threat to bomb Iran into submission. Will it work? There are too many dilemmas for US…. •CAN IRAN BE BOMBED INTO SUBMISSION? •WILL US PUT BOOTS ON THE GROUND IF BOMBING DOES NOT WORK. ? •WILL TRUMP GET…
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Trump In The Indo Pacific
The 3T plan of Trump is playing out in the Indo Pacific – Taiwan, Tehran and Tariffs. The general view that is emerging is that Trump’s long term aim is to contain China. Whatever he is doing at present is only setting the stage for achieving that. In this context, he has quietly but steadily…
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Trump And The Indo Pacific
Trump and the INDO PACIFIC are a set of contradictions. The US focus was always meant to be on the Pacific, but all action is happening in the Indo! Trump was expected to be hard on China but he is hard on his allies. In turn they are seeking accommodation with China! There is also…
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‘CORPORATISED WAR TERMINATION’ WILL NOT WORK FOR USA IN UKRAINE
‘ Trump is a man in a hurry to bring the Ukraine War to a closure at the earliest. However his approach to war termination is based on corporate principles which are at odds with the Russian old style approach. As these negotiations are seeming to acquire a life of their own, the West Asian…
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PUTIN/ TRUMP/ZELENSKY : CEASEFIRE TANGO
The ceasefire and peace process in the Ukraine Russia War has begun. There are many models on which a ceasefire can be modelled on. Mr Sree Iyer and I examined the Korean, German, Kashmir and Finland, Cyprus models which can serve as a base for the peace process. Whichever model is adopted, it will be…
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RUSSIA UKRAINE WAR : THE TWISTS AND TURNS OF PEACE
Had two wonderful discussions with Mr John Helmer and Brig Arun Sahgal on the Russia Ukraine War. The first was all about to find if there is a basic matrix which can be found on which peace can be established. The second discussion outlines the twist and turns in achieving some kind of a ceasefire,…
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UKRAINE AND BANGLADESH WARS : A POLITICO MILITARY COMPARISON
What are the lessons that can be drawn from the 1971 India Pakistan war which the Russians could have applied in the Ukraine war? This was the question which triggered this analysis. There are eerie similarities between these wars. Political objectives, planning considerations, preparation, training , soldiery, weather, terrain and more are comparable. While there were many things…
Gunners Shot 