Category: INDIA’S STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
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CHINA INDIA IN THE WORLD ORDER – A CHINESE PERSPECTIVE
In any analysis the first order of business is to know what lies on the other side of the hill. It is in this context that one has to understand the Chinese perspective of where they see China and India in the world order. Logically a country in decline should start altering its ambitions. However…
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RICH PAKISTAN – POOR PAKISTAN : DANGEROUS , TOXIC AND AT WAR FOREVER
I have always been of the opinion that there are two Pakistans. One which is rich, well armed and dangerous. That is the Pakistan of the Army. The other is a Pakistan which is poor and toxic- politically unstable, bankrupt, radical and hereafter eternally at battle with the Taliban. The Pakistan of the Army is…
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GOOD, BAD & THE UGLY FOR INDIA IN 2024
In this episode we have summarised what has been good, bad and ugly for India in 2024 – geopolitically, geoeconomically, technologically and internally. If the Chinese withdrawal is the best thing which happened in 2024, the ugliest is the Bangladesh upheaval and the bitter aftermath. Everything else has been in between. However, 2024 on the…
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INDIA’S INCREASING RISK RELIANCE
Lt Gen Ata Hasnain and i had an in-depth discussion on the 20th Anniversary of the 2004 Tsunami and how India has become more disaster resilient than that time. However the most important part of our discussion was that all of us feel that disaster will happen only to the next person, town or district,…
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THE TURBULENT GLOBAL ORDER AND INDIA’S WAY AHEAD
At the end of 2024 the global order is far more uncertain and turbulent than when the year started. As we head into 2025, the portents are that the turbulence will only get worse. Maj Gen Rajiv Narayanan (R) outlines the geoeconomics of this turbulence and discusses India’s way ahead. This is a time when…
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INDIA UP AGAINST CHINA PAKISTAN AND BANGLADESH
India faces a new security paradigm. It is up against China, Pakistan and Bangladesh which are coalescing together. While each country poses a different challenge, there is an emerging nexus aimed at containing India. While China has withdrawn from the LAC due to its apparent incapacities and internal situation, it is now getting to India…
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Containing India : The Big Power Game
As India rises it has to contend with containment. Primarily it has already started coming from China which feels that India’s growth is at its expense. Simultaneously it is also coming from USA which has started opining that it will have to contend with a risen India and face problems it has with China. Hence…
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India’s Changing Equations in Global Flux
Had a fascinating discussion with Brig Arun Sahgal (R). We covered a wide canvas beginning with the Contours of Global Order as it reshapes itself. Aspects covered were wars and major disruptions, China – US strategic competition, and emerging power alignments in the Indo – Pacific. Dwelt upon the knotty India – US equations, present…
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China’s Decline is Now Official
The PLA Daily recently declared that China can do with less than 5% GDP Growth and that China needs to abandon ‘Worship of Speed’. Superficially it appears as if the CCP is preparing the Chinese people to accept lower growth rates. However the problem is deeper. This is the beginning of the official decline of…
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Nepal’s Drift To China
Nepal’s drift towards China is palpable. While the situation is not alarming , every time KP Sharma Oli comes to power , he takes an additional step to go towards China. That is concerning. India must have a long term policy to deal with Nepal which is based on people to people relationship which can…
Gunners Shot 