Month: March 2025
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China Has Hit Its Great Wall
A GDP fixated China finds itself boxed in economically. Investment has hit a ceiling. Consumption remains weak. Export of trade surplus is facing geopolitical barriers besides low profit margins due to overcapacity. The answer to China’s economic malaise is to increase consumption. However it comes at a political risk and cost which Xi Jinping is…
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BALUCHISTAN BOILS- PAKISTAN ON THE ROPES – CHINA ENTERS THE FRAY
The chess board has altered since the Jaffar Express Attack, Maharang Baloch in jail, BLA ‘s 48 attacks and Akthar Mengal’s long march mark a significant convergence in Baluchistan. Most importantly, the Baluch ladies have hit the streets and are leading the movement. If this solidifies, its curtains up for Pakistan. Till now the Baluch…
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Trump And The Indo Pacific
Trump and the INDO PACIFIC are a set of contradictions. The US focus was always meant to be on the Pacific, but all action is happening in the Indo! Trump was expected to be hard on China but he is hard on his allies. In turn they are seeking accommodation with China! There is also…
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BALUCHISTAN BEYOND THE BRINK
A three part analysis. 1. The anger on the streets 2. Why is Baluchistan on the brink 3. A report from ground zero As #Baluchistan burns
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Lessons From the IPKF Operations in Sri Lanka
Those who ignore their history are consigned to repeat it. The IPKF operations in Sri Lanka are now conveniently forgotten by our military and political establishment. It is as if those three years never existed in our military history. In my opinion, the sojourn in SriLanka was the crucible of fire through which the Indian…
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POLICE ASSAULTS ON ARMY PERSONNEL : AN INCREASINGLY DISTURBING TREND
Assaults on serving personnel by police is increasing in scope and brutality. It is unimaginable that a colonel gets beaten up black and blue in Punjab by a lot of drunken cops and the government is silent with no action being taken. It will have deep ramifications. It might result in an uncontrollable situation one…
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BEYOND THE FACADE : CHINESE ANALYSIS OF PM MODI’S REMARKS
PM Modi’s remarks on relationship with China during the Lex Freidman podcast was statesman like. It has drawn some appreciation from Chinese official media. However when one looks behind the facade, the Chinese reaction has been negative. The Chinese on the whole feel that our PM’s outreach is more to do with a weak India…
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‘CORPORATISED WAR TERMINATION’ WILL NOT WORK FOR USA IN UKRAINE
‘ Trump is a man in a hurry to bring the Ukraine War to a closure at the earliest. However his approach to war termination is based on corporate principles which are at odds with the Russian old style approach. As these negotiations are seeming to acquire a life of their own, the West Asian…
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IS INDIA’S NEIGHBOURHOOD IMPLODING?
A free flowing conversation on the deteriorating situation in Pakistan, China and Bangladesh. The recent press conference of ex COAS Gen Jahangir Karamat against the Asim Munir regime indicates that Pakistan is on the brink. The arrest of He Weidong, the Vice Chairman of the CMC shows that the internal political struggle in a weakening…
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BALUCHISTAN ON THE BRINK
Recent incidents indicate very clearly that Baluchistan is on the brink of secession from Pakistan. This analysis is a layered onion peel approach to deconstruct what is happening in Pakistan with the core being the melt down in Baluchistan. Fundamentally the Pakistan Army has dealt with Baluchistan from a security, geopolitical and economic perspective and…
Gunners Shot 